Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.457306 0.529955 0.609709 0.703662 0.811221 0.930413 1.072416
2025-06-01 0.329980 0.426701 0.544097 0.696623 0.889076 1.123332 1.429566
2025-06-08 0.253593 0.355385 0.488324 0.673719 0.924520 1.250816 1.706168
2025-06-15 0.224076 0.335016 0.488659 0.715350 1.039370 1.483533 2.135774
2025-06-22 0.184123 0.291869 0.449182 0.693300 1.059746 1.585831 2.393821
2025-06-29 0.153784 0.257096 0.415328 0.672299 1.075358 1.678360 2.642127
2025-07-06 0.130754 0.229612 0.387842 0.655757 1.093160 1.772507 2.898148
2025-07-13 0.117977 0.216622 0.380930 0.669786 1.158626 1.943663 3.286813
2025-07-20 0.110744 0.211834 0.386466 0.704160 1.259623 2.179023 3.798191
2025-07-27 0.102434 0.203809 0.385167 0.726078 1.340941 2.388284 4.283951
2025-08-03 0.093137 0.192556 0.376563 0.733592 1.397116 2.558962 4.717786
2025-08-10 0.083363 0.178950 0.361837 0.727821 1.428064 2.687376 5.087307
2025-08-17 0.073926 0.164919 0.345020 0.716938 1.449844 2.803958 5.451312
2025-08-24 0.066175 0.153300 0.331551 0.711085 1.480725 2.940313 5.865045
2025-08-31 0.057753 0.138961 0.310722 0.687804 1.474613 3.005978 6.150399
2025-09-07 0.056228 0.139700 0.321264 0.730263 1.604327 3.342803 6.985930
2025-09-14 0.049459 0.127387 0.302293 0.707778 1.597715 3.410883 7.297208
2025-09-21 0.043625 0.116397 0.284819 0.686362 1.590753 3.476848 7.608619
2025-09-28 0.038816 0.107182 0.270187 0.669491 1.591573 3.558196 7.957507
2025-10-05 0.036509 0.103972 0.269175 0.683799 1.662818 3.792985 8.647558
2025-10-12 0.035594 0.104277 0.276625 0.718853 1.784431 4.145349 9.617214
2025-10-19 0.033997 0.102508 0.278744 0.741203 1.878602 4.445169 10.495475
2025-10-26 0.031763 0.098642 0.275102 0.748866 1.938631 4.673706 11.233146